Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS
Ranking of upcoming fixtures most likely to go over 2.5 goals and for both teams to score.
How the ranking is calculated
Each match receives two separate ranks: one for Over 2.5 Goals and one for Both Teams to Score (BTTS). The two ranks are built from the same idea: estimate how open the game should be by combining expected goals, scoring form and defensive vulnerability for both teams.
- Attack strength is based on season xG plus short-term scoring form (recent goals and chances created) for both teams.
- Defensive vulnerability is based on recent goals conceded, shots on target conceded and the opponent’s ability to create chances.
- Openness multiplier increases the score when both teams have high BTTS rate or regularly score in both halves.
- Expected total goals combines home attack with away defense and away attack with home defense. Higher expected total boosts Over 2.5 rank.
- BTTS likelihood focuses on the probability both teams score at least once, boosted when both have consistent scoring trends.
Final output: two ranks per fixture (Over 2.5 and BTTS) plus corresponding odds. Lower data quality fixtures are placed lower by default.